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Choose a market

Navigate to a vertical:
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Home feed/Featured markets across categories
Sports/sportsSoccer match lines
Crypto/cryptoBTC up/down, price events
Pump.fun/pumpfunGraduation, mcap, and up/down coin markets
Event detail/event/[slug]All markets for one match
See Trade pump.fun markets for up/down pending windows and coin event pages.

Read the trade panel

Before you confirm, the panel shows:
FieldMeaning
SideYES or NO (or named outcome)
PriceCurrent implied probability
StakeUSDC for your prediction
FeesPlatform overround + maker fee
SharesOutcome tokens you receive
Potential payoutUSDC returned if you win
Higher stakes move the AMM price (slippage). The preview reflects the price impact of your trade size.

Confirm your prediction

1

Enter stake

Type the USDC amount or use quick-fill buttons.
2

Review preview

Check fees, shares, and potential payout.
3

Confirm

Click Confirm. The platform executes mint + swap on your custodial wallet.
4

Verify

Your position appears in Portfolio within seconds.
No wallet popup is required for custodial trades.

What happens on-chain

Behind the scenes:
  1. Mint — Your USDC is converted to YES + NO tokens. Platform and maker fees are skimmed.
  2. Swap — The side you did not pick is swapped via the AMM for more of your chosen side.
  3. Position — You hold outcome tokens representing your prediction.

After you predict

ScenarioWhat happens
You winRedeem tokens after resolution + dispute window
You loseTokens become worthless; stake stays in market vault
Sell earlySell tokens via AMM if pool has liquidity
Market voidedRefund your stake

Cutoffs

Predictions close 15 minutes before the event ends. The trade panel disables confirmation when the cutoff passes.

Failed trades

If a trade fails (network issue, insufficient balance, market paused), the UI shows an error with a retry option. Your USDC balance is not debited unless the on-chain transaction confirms.